Edited by W. Joseph Stroupe with the mission of explaining world events correctly via strategic analysis & forecasting
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"Strategic-forecasting expert and Asia Times Online contributor Joseph Stroupe's new book goes against the tide of Western smugness and makes a brilliant case for sitting up and taking notice of how the Russian bear is opportunistically wrestling to divest the United States of its world hegemony."
"Moreover, Stroupe maintains, Russia was only temporarily thwarted in 1991 and is now mounting a second challenge as the US stock of global goodwill declines swiftly."
"Stroupe discerns a clear pattern in Russia's recent diplomacy whereby crude oil, gas or other strategic minerals play a central role in every relationship it cultivates."
"Stroupe sends a chilling message that if economic warfare ever broke out between the US and China, the latter could cause an accelerated Asian exit from the dollar to other currencies while the former's dependence on cheap imports would leave it with no ability to retaliate with tariffs or embargoes on Chinese commodities."
-- Sreeram Chaulia, The Asia Times
[italics added]
Read Senator Lugar's recent speech at the Purdue University Summit on Energy Security
Since the fall of 1999 when Russia was an economic and geopolitical basket case and when a barrel of oil cost only about $9 the author repeatedly warned that energy prices would soon embark on a strategic rise. He forecast that oil and gas would become the key global economic and geopolitical factors governing developments world-wide. Only one year later in the fall of 2000 a barrel of oil cost about $27, triple its 1999 price. It has continued its strategic rise ever since. Contrary to the predictions of virtually everyone else, today energy does rule global developments precisely as he forecast.
Also beginning in the fall of 1999 the author has repeatedly and consistently warned that Russia would massively capitalize economically and geopolitically on the strategic rise of energy prices, while the US would suffer both in an economic and geopolitical way. Contrary to virtually every other analyst, he forecast in detail the stabilization and unabated rise of the Russian economy and Russia's reacquisition of global power. He has been proved correct.
Again in late 1999 when the relationship between Russia and China was barely in its infancy and virtually everyone else was predicting the two powers were completely incompatible the author forecast that Russia and China would establish a full-blown strategic partnership in response to inordinately militaristic US foreign policy. That forecast has also been authenticated by world events.
In late 1999 when the entire world was still completely in awe at the overwhelming military might of the US the author warned that US military and economic power were inordinately image more than real substance, that the US relied excessively upon its supposed virtual military omnipotence instead of protecting and deepening its global alliances, and that in the near future the US was likely to attempt further military exploits (the US had only recently led NATO to bomb Serbia for 78 days) that would demonstrate the distinct limits of US military power, resulting in a pointed strategic decay of American power and influence on the global stage. He warned that the US risked getting stuck in a quagmire of inestimable diplomatic, military, economic and geopolitical costs as a result. He warned such a scenario would provide opportunity for US rivals Russia, China and others to collectively rise to achieve global power. That forecast has also been proved correct.
From the fall of 1999 until now the author has consistently warned that no "strategic partnership" between the US and Russia would ever develop, but rather a new cold war over global control of strategic resources would arise. It has arisen precisely as he forecast. Yet nearly everyone else predicted Russia would have no choice but to be a "friend" and "partner" to the US.
The author correctly forecast in 2004 that the US would be progressively pushed out of the strategically important region of Central Asia, that US influence in the Middle East would severely contract, that its influence in Europe would wane as the Trans-Atlantic Alliance atrophied, that the Orange Revolution in Ukraine and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan would backfire and hand Russia the advantage, that the US-South Korea alliance would decay, and that US economic power would continue to deteriorate while that of Russia and its strategic partners in the East would continue to rise.
© Copyright 2004-2008 This article may not be reproduced, reprinted or otherwise disseminated, nor may its inherent distinctive and original ideas be used elsewhere without the prior written permission of W. Joseph Stroupe. No journalistic, analytical, editorial or forecasting substance from GeoStrategyMap.com may be republished or employed in any form without prior written permission. Send all requests for permission by email to: editor_in_chief@geostrategymap.com. |
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